Sunday, October 31, 2010
What We Learned Yesterday
Saturday, October 30, 2010
Remember When
Thursday, October 28, 2010
Paul's Picks
Wake Forest at MARYLAND (-5.5)
Although neither team is a threat for a ranking or meriting much attention, the spread is implying that Maryland is decent. This is a pick based solely on noticing a spread that seems too high. Oh, and Wake does have some talent on defense. Pick: Wake +5.5
Vanderbilt at ARKANSAS (-21)
Pad the stats time for the Razorbacks. Pick: Arkansas -21
Akron at TEMPLE (-29)
I am including this game just so I can type a -29 next to Temple. Pick: Temple -29
Missouri at NEBRASKA (over/under 55)
Although I like Nebraska in this game-like everyone else--I am impressed enough with Missouri's defense to shy away from giving the points. But I do like the under in what should be a defensive struggle. Pick: Under 55
Cal at OREGON STATE (-3)
Cal has played four home games this season, winning them all by average 47-9 score. They have played three road games, losing them all by average margin of 16. This game is on the road and features the second half of the season Beavers, who are always good this time of year. Pick: Oregon State -3
Michigan at PENN STATE (+3)
How did Michigan get back into the rankings? Because they did not drop their third straight game(they were off)? Penn State wins third straight in rivalry once dominated by Michigan. Pick: Penn State +3
Wednesday, October 27, 2010
Boise Blues
Monday, October 25, 2010
What We Learned Saturday
Sunday, October 24, 2010
If You Root For Enough Teams...
Friday, October 22, 2010
Remember When
Pac 10 Update
Paul's Picks
I am now 15-18 for the season, which stinks. Here are the picks for this week:
Georgia Tech at CLEMSON (-5)
The Yellow Jackets pulled off an unusual sweep of an opponent last season by beating Clemson in the regular season and in the ACC title game. These two squads will not be meeting in December this year and this game will decide if the Tigers can beat coach Paul Johnson, who has now won 3 straight close games against them while at Tech. Game should be competitive and I will take the points. Pick: Georgia Tech +5
Michigan State (-6) at NORTHWESTERN
This is an awful scheduling spot for the undefeated Spartans as they are well overdue for a let-down following the late, crazy win over Notre Dame on 9/18, their head coach's heart attack that evening, the upset of Wisconsin on 10/2, the beating of Michigan 10/9 and then homecoming last week with the coach returning. That is a lot for kids. Add in the Northwestern spread attack, which is quite different than the one the Illini threw at them last week, and the reality that Iowa awaits them next Saturday, and Sparty should be in trouble against a game bunch of Cats. Pick: Northwestern +6
Syracuse at WEST VIRGINIA (-13.5)
While I love the effort the Orange give, they are not yet ready to handle a supremely athletic team on the road. The Schwartzwalder Trophy remains the property of the Mountaineers for a ninth straight year thanks to Geno Smith, Noel Devine, Jock Sanders, and company. Pick: West Virginia -13.5
Oklahoma (-3) at MISSOURI
The Sooners own this series, winning 19 of the past 20. And we are not talking about Barry Switzer running it up against an undermanned Tigers bunch a generation ago, but ranked Mizzou teams from 2006, 2007 (twice), and 2008 losing to Oklahoma by double digits. Yes no. 1 has fallen two Saturdays in a row, but the Sooners learned that lesson and will be focused. Pick: Oklahoma -3
Nebraska (-6) at OKLAHOMA STATE
I will give the Cowboys credit for one thing. Like Missouri this weekend, Oklahoma State has chosen this tough conference opponent as its homecoming foe. That takes balls my friends. But, it will not produce wins. Like Missouri, OSU has not beaten anyone even remotely sniffing the top 25 at the moment. And the Huskers are a bit angry after last week's loss. Plus the Nebraska seniors remember when the Cowboys rung up 45 points on them in 2007, the last time these two programs squared off. The Huskers will have their revenge and Oklahoma State's slide into Big 12 also ran status begins tomorrow. Pick: Nebraska -6
Alabama (-16.5) at TENNESSEE
Turn away children. Turn away. Pick: Alabama -16.5
Thursday, October 21, 2010
SEC Report
Tuesday, October 19, 2010
Old-time Football
Sunday, October 17, 2010
What We Learned Saturday
Saturday, October 16, 2010
Remember When
Friday, October 15, 2010
Paul's Picks
The picks for thie weekend, using the lines from usatoday.org are as follows:
Iowa (-3) at MICHIGAN
Yes I am dumping on Michigan. But until their defense improves--and now top DE Mike Martin is banged up--I will continue to pick against the Wolverines. Pick: Iowa -3
South Carolina (-4.5) at KENTUCKY
A number of people are focusing on this spot as a tough one for South Carolina following the team's huge upset of Alabama last week, but remember that Kentucky put out a great deal of effort in playing Auburn so well. They have to be coached up too and the advantage in that department goes to SC coach Steve Spurrier, who is 17-0 lifetime versus Kentucky. Pick: South Carolina -4.5
Arkansas at AUBURN (-4)
A crazy series of late gets much more attention due to the SEC West standings. Game should be fun and I'll take four in a shootout with one of the nation's best passing attacks. Pick: Arkansas +4
Paying Players? Oh My!
That said, I do want it cleaned up a bit. Paying players will never go away. But perhaps making it harder to do so will make some guys like Leaf become more diligent in his preparation as there will be no payoff until he makes the pros. And the playing field will be somewhat leveled between the schools with big bankrolls and the ones with smaller ones. And the positives to playing the sport--like character building, teamwork, achieving goals, etc--will outweigh the negatives, like prostituting yourself for an immediate payday. One would hope.
Thursday, October 14, 2010
This Week's Picks
South Florida at WEST VIRGINIA (-10)
This spread is based solely on South Florida's upset loss to Syracuse and not on the match-up of these two teams. The advantage West Virginia has had over the years in Big East play has been its team speed. Well that advantage has disappeared against the equally-fast Bulls, who have won three out of the last four in this series. Pick: South florida +10
Baseball Getting In the Way
Wednesday, October 13, 2010
View From Bennett Avenue
Monday, October 11, 2010
What We Learned Sunday
Sunday, October 10, 2010
What We Learned Saturday
Friday, October 8, 2010
Remember When
Thursday, October 7, 2010
Paul's Picks
Boy do I like a lot of games this week, which is a bit daunting. The fear is that I will pick five games for you here and go 2-3, while hitting the others I do not select for your reading pleasure. I went 3-2 last week and am now 13-11 on the season. Mediocre? Sure, but I have had to overcome a dreadful start.
Here are the picks, all road teams, based on Danny Sheridan's odds as found Thursday at usatoday.com:
(Friday) Connecticut (-5.5) at RUTGERS
October 8th is my brother's birthday and he graduated many years ago from Rutgers. That said, I am taking Connecticut to win big. Rutgers does not have much of an offensive line and the Huskies have a very good front seven. While Rutgers' beleaguered offense will continue to struggle, their very game defense will eventually break under the pressure of carrying the offense. Pick: Connecticut -5.5
Michigan State at MICHIGAN (-4.5)
While it seems like I am picking on the Wolverines, they have not impressed me. Sure Denard Robinson is exciting, but the Spartans have enough tape to watch to devise a way to contain him. They will not stop him, mind you, but keep him from running wild. Meanwhile QB Kirk Cousins will enjoy throwing against the woeful Michigan secondary. Look for the visitors to not only cover but win their third straight in the series. Pick: Michigan State +4.5
Alabama (-6.5) at SOUTH CAROLINA
Yes that half point is luring me in like a sailor to a singing siren. What impresses me the most about Alabama is that they stick to what they do well no matter the opponent or score. With Arkansas beating them after three quarters and then Florida outgaining them last week, the Tide continued to hammer their way to consecutive SEC wins. They cannot let down this week against the Gamecocks, but unless QB Stephen Garcia plays like the Ryan Mallett of the 1st half of the Arkansas game or the Gamecocks defense plays like the Gators defense in the 2nd half of the Florida game, South Carolina is in trouble. Pick: Alabama -6.5
Oregon (-36) at WASHINGTON STATE
Bob and i normally avoid games like this for the blog, but they are available for wagering and this one does matter for polls and the like. By beating Stanford last week the Ducks bypassed Boise State for third place in the polls. They want more. With Ohio State banged up and suddenly vulnerable (not so much to lose but to fall behind Oregon), Oregon can sway voters with another monster effort on offense. Playing a program that they have scored at least 52 points in each of the last three meetings will allow them to improve on their 56 pts-per-game average. They will cover by the half against a Cougars squad that cannot put up a fight.
Rice at UTEP (-9)
When Rice has been good of late they have beaten UTEP and when Rice has been bad, like last year, they beat UTEP. And while the 1-4 Owls have played a tough schedule--losing to Texas, Northwestern, Baylor and SMU--the 4-1 Miners have enjoyed playing both New Mexico and New Mexico State. Despite the records these teams are even. Pick: Rice +9.
Wednesday, October 6, 2010
Trust Your Eyes
Tuesday, October 5, 2010
View From Bennett Avenue
It is somewhat laughable that the program that is currently passing Boise, Oregon, is the one member of the top ten that this edition of Boise State has proven that they can beat when sweeping a home-and-home series in 2008-09. After all, what does Boise have to do to stay ahead of Oregon in the polls beyond beating them twice? But wait, you say, Oregon has the best offense in the country this year and deserves the higher ranking. But Oregon averaged 47 points per game after three games before taking on, and losing to, Boise in 2008. And last year's Ducks managed only 8 points against this Broncos defense last year. Are they that much better one year later? Instead we should be discussing just how great the Boise State defense is and whether Oregon can score against them.
Broncos coach Chris Petersen did not rip into voters over the news. What can he do? Win all of his games? Well, yeah, but that will never be enough.
Friday, October 1, 2010
Remember When
Well, sports fans, we’re white racists again
Coaxed by Soledad O'Brien, Hispanic interviewer for CNN, Miami Heat basketball star LeBron James admitted in a Monday TV taping that he felt racism played some part in the overwhelmingly negative public reaction to his dramatic, ESPN-orchestrated free agent "decision" televised this summer.
Oh, really? I guess it's my fault, not LeBron's ego, and not "World-Leader" ESPN again acting as if it were bigger than sports. And what of Ms. O'Brien's responsibility for having framed her question in racial terms in the first place?
Do I as a 63-year-old white sports fan get off the hook as a racist if I feel boyishly-enthusiastic, southern white football quarterback Brett Favre is just as big an ego-maniacal boor as James? In fact, I'll say Brett has earned a far greater annoyance factor because he has pulled his insufferable "I might be retired, I might not" act for not one but three straight seasons.
Give LeBron some credit. He contributed all of his income from the hour-long ESPN show to the Boys & Girls Clubs of America. Good for him. What's Brett done?
While I don't pretend to speak for all white sports fans, I believe we white fans mostly have preferred our sports heroes to write a decent-sized check to charities and not make such a public spectacle of it.
We also prefer athletes who play team sports to act a bit more as if their purpose were to contribute to their team winning games, not act as though the sport was created as their personal stage. Thousands of teammates from all parts of the globe worked together to win. For example, Lou Gehrig (a German-American with a heavy New York accent) and Joe DiMaggio (a San Francisco Italian) acted this way, so did Jackie Robinson (a Southern California-bred black) and Pee Wee Reese (a Louisville white), Roberto Clemente (a Puerto Rican black) and Bob Moose (a small-town Pennsylvania white), Gale Sayers (an Omaha-born black) and Brian Piccolo (a Florida-born white), Juan Marichal (a Dominican black) and Bill Haller (an Illinois white), Cookie Gilchrist (a Pennsylvania black by way of Canada) and Pete Gogolak (a Hungarian-born white), Rod Carew (a Panamanian black) and Harmon Killebrew (an Idaho white), and Sandy Koufax (a Brooklyn Jew) and John Roseboro (an Ohio black).
I guess we're guilty of asking today's athlete to act like a teammate and not an over-inflated deity. Guilty as charged.
--Bob Boyles
Paul's Picks
Friday
BYU (-4.5) at UTAH STATE: The Cougars season has unraveled after an opening win over Washington as the banged up squad has lost three straight, all by two TDs or more. But those defeats were to Florida State, Air Force and Nevada, all of whom are much better than Utah State. BYU has won 10 straight in the series and needs to right its ship now with San Diego State and TCU up next on the schedule. Utah State QB Diondre Borel is talented, but its defense is beleaguered. Pick: BYU -4.5
Oklahoma (-3.5) vs. Texas: The Longhorns are going to bounce back from their stunning loss to UCLA last week and play a spirited game. But they do not have any weapons on offense and will struggle to score. The Sooners offense features two game-breakers in back DeMarco Murray and receiver Ryan Broyles and they should be able to trade a few TDs for UT FGs. Oklahoma has lost four of the past five in this series and are pissed off about the last two that they could have easily won. While I hate that extra half point, I do see a 10-point win for OU. Pick: Oklahoma -3.5
Michigan (-10.5) at INDIANA: One of these weeks I will have to stop picking against Michigan. But this spread is silly as IU is angry after last season's controversial loss and has a passing attack featuring QB Ben Chappell and a veteran receiving corps that should blitz through the weak Michigan secondary. Don't get me wrong--I do not see the Hoosiers defense stopping Michigan and QB Denard Robinson either. But in a shootout I will gladly take a home dog of double digits (and the over too). Pick: Indiana +10.5
Navy at AIR FORCE (-10): The home team is definitely due to win in this heated series after losing seven straight. But by 10? With the way Navy has dominated its service academy brethren--last losing to either Army or Air Force in 2002--the Falcons will be happy with any kind of victory. The Midshipmen will play with the confidence that elevates winners. Look for OT for the second straight time in this series or a last-sec winning FG in regulation. Pick: Navy +10.
Florida at ALABAMA (-8): Is it me or is Alabama a bit overrated? Part of the problem for me is that I tend to see their mediocre performances more often than their great ones. In their last 12 games I did not see them blowout Mississippi State and Chattanooga last season nor San Jose State and Duke this season. And they definitely looked great against Florida in the 2009 SEC title game and in the first half against Texas in the BCS championship contest. But I did see them struggle against South Carolina, Tennessee and Auburn last year and Arkansas last week. They are good, and I would vote them no. 1, but for long stretches of games against top competition they go into funks where they do not look very good (see 2nd half versus Texas). This will be important against a Florida squad that enters the game with supreme motivation. They know that the Tide has surpassed them as the best team in the country and they also know that Alabama beat them up last year. Hell, their performance almost killed their coach (well, they think so anyway). As much as I dislike Urban Meyer I respect his coaching acumen and know he will pull out all the stops in this game. The Tide win a close one. Pick: Florida +8.
Bob’s Picks
Bob's Picks for Oct. 2, 2010: This week, Point Spreads are based on the Bodog.net line in Thursday's USA TODAY.
Road Favorites
Sometimes travel soothes the soul. Top 10 travelers get their props from Las Vegas, but when decent to good football teams make road trips, the oddsmakers often underestimate them and give too much credit to inferior home teams.
There are three road favorites I like to beat spreads this week:
Northwestern (-4) at MINNESOTA: The Golden Goofers are in real trouble. Meanwhile, these aren't your dad's Northwestern Wildcats, winners of 18 games in all of the 1980s. But your "dad" still makes odds in Vegas and can't see Northwestern for the solid program it is now. Pick: Northwestern -4
Notre Dame (-2.5) at BOSTON COLLEGE: This marks the Fighting Irish's first step in an interesting trio of eastern venues this year: lovely Chestnut Hill (where it might still be raining on Saturday), the New Meadowlands Stadium (vs. Navy), and the new Yankee Stadium (vs. Army). Notre Dame is desperate for a win. BC had won six straight in the series until last year when its offense went on strike. BC's attack isn't any better this year. Pick: NOTRE DAME -2.5
Georgia (-3.5) at COLORADO: The Buffaloes are better but probably not enough ultimately to save coach Dan Hawkins' job. Ordinarily, Georgia might overlook this fair out-of-conference opponent, but after three straight losses, the Bulldogs themselves are desperate. Pick: GEORGIA -3.5
--Bob Boyles