Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Lessons From Draft Part 1

You are a college football fan, right?  And you watch a fair share of the sport.  And being a football fan you pay attention to the NFL draft.  But with all of the hype poured into that event you find yourself confused.  Who are half of these guys and why are we so interested in them?
There are many reasons as to why some very productive college players get drafted lower than expected and some not drafted at all and why some not too productive guys go very high.  The answer generally shoved down our throat concerns speed--that the NFL demands it and some very talented college stars do not have enough of it to be anything more than a sub.  Of course it is more complicated than that as smarts, football and otherwise, height, scheme played, coaching and myriad other factors help determine a players lot.
And the experts get the placing of players incredibly wrong so often it is difficult to understand why they are experts.  But the inability to rank players by experts and general mangers alike then allows some drafted-too-high players to lose their edge while inspiring some low-drafted players.  And that makes the experts look even worse.  It is a vicious cycle.
As for productivity, I am a big believer in the reality that good players make plays.  I want my favorite football team to focus on talented football players that fit their system.  I am really not interested in "projects" and I want guys who are team-first players.  I would take a chance on an injured guy before a guy falling for off-the-field issues.
More to follow.

No comments:

Post a Comment