Paul’s Picks for Sept. 26, 2009: Point Spreads always are based on Danny Sheridan’s Wednesday spreads in USA TODAY.
Last week ATS: Favorites covered 20, failed to cover 22, one “push” (tie)
Season ATS: Favorites covered 59, failed to cover 70
Last week’s picks: 3-1
Season Picks: 7-7
King of the Road
Going the road route to get over .500. And being that I am a “man of means by no means” I look forward to a successful week of predictions as a way to earn myself some self satisfaction.
Of course how can anyone predict college football games without knowing which players are riddled with the flu and which are not? I will give it my best effort.
Friday (9:00 pm EDT): Missouri (-7) over NEVADA
This is another one of the payback versus pushover games as Nevada certainly wants to avenge their brutal 69-17 whipping at the hands of Missouri last season. But the question remains, can they? The answer seems to be no as every time the Wolf Pack step up in competition—Notre Dame earlier this year and both Missouri and Texas Tech last year—they get manhandled. Meanwhile, the Tigers have owned the month of September in recent years and I see no reason that cannot continue. Pick: Missouri -7.
Saturday (Noon EDT): North Carolina at GEORGIA TECH (-2.5)
Inconsistent offensive line play is the Achilles’ heel of an option attack and what makes matters worse for the Yellow Jackets is that they have had to tangle with top defensive front sevens from first Clemson and then Miami and now North Carolina. The Tar Heels will dominate with their D-line and get enough throws from T.J. Yates to remain unbeaten.
Pick: North Carolina +2.5
Saturday (8:00 pm EDT): Iowa at PENN STATE (-9.5)
Penn State does not look like a national title contender and no matter how much people want to assume that they will beat Iowa by double figures to avenge last year’s defeat, the stark reality is that they are over-rated and the Hawkeyes, winners of seven straight games since last season’s upset of Penn State, are under-rated. That is a bad combination for the home team and a good combination for anyone picking games. Pick: Iowa +9.5
Saturday (9:15 pm EDT): Texas Tech at HOUSTON (-1.5)
Okay, Houston it’s show time. You have had two weeks to savor your upset of Oklahoma State. Can you beat another Big 12 team? Whether they can or not, balls will be flying in this game as Cougars QB Case Keenum and Tech QB Taylor Potts go head-to-head. The pick here is with Texas Tech as coach Mike Leach looks to improve on a 14-1 record versus instate non-conference teams. Pick: Texas Tech +1.5.
Last week ATS: Favorites covered 20, failed to cover 22, one “push” (tie)
Season ATS: Favorites covered 59, failed to cover 70
Last week’s picks: 3-1
Season Picks: 7-7
King of the Road
Going the road route to get over .500. And being that I am a “man of means by no means” I look forward to a successful week of predictions as a way to earn myself some self satisfaction.
Of course how can anyone predict college football games without knowing which players are riddled with the flu and which are not? I will give it my best effort.
Friday (9:00 pm EDT): Missouri (-7) over NEVADA
This is another one of the payback versus pushover games as Nevada certainly wants to avenge their brutal 69-17 whipping at the hands of Missouri last season. But the question remains, can they? The answer seems to be no as every time the Wolf Pack step up in competition—Notre Dame earlier this year and both Missouri and Texas Tech last year—they get manhandled. Meanwhile, the Tigers have owned the month of September in recent years and I see no reason that cannot continue. Pick: Missouri -7.
Saturday (Noon EDT): North Carolina at GEORGIA TECH (-2.5)
Inconsistent offensive line play is the Achilles’ heel of an option attack and what makes matters worse for the Yellow Jackets is that they have had to tangle with top defensive front sevens from first Clemson and then Miami and now North Carolina. The Tar Heels will dominate with their D-line and get enough throws from T.J. Yates to remain unbeaten.
Pick: North Carolina +2.5
Saturday (8:00 pm EDT): Iowa at PENN STATE (-9.5)
Penn State does not look like a national title contender and no matter how much people want to assume that they will beat Iowa by double figures to avenge last year’s defeat, the stark reality is that they are over-rated and the Hawkeyes, winners of seven straight games since last season’s upset of Penn State, are under-rated. That is a bad combination for the home team and a good combination for anyone picking games. Pick: Iowa +9.5
Saturday (9:15 pm EDT): Texas Tech at HOUSTON (-1.5)
Okay, Houston it’s show time. You have had two weeks to savor your upset of Oklahoma State. Can you beat another Big 12 team? Whether they can or not, balls will be flying in this game as Cougars QB Case Keenum and Tech QB Taylor Potts go head-to-head. The pick here is with Texas Tech as coach Mike Leach looks to improve on a 14-1 record versus instate non-conference teams. Pick: Texas Tech +1.5.
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